UC Research Profile - University of Canterbury - New Zealand

Professor Elena Moltchanova

Contact

Department: Mathematics and Statistics

Email: elena.moltchanova@canterbury.ac.nz

Direct Dial: +64 3 3692454

Office: Jack Erskine 600

Languages: English, Ancient Egyptian, Finnish, German, Russian, Swedish

Research / Creative works

Fields of Research

Applied Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling
Epidemiology
Modelling of extreme events
Control Charts
Ecological Modeling

Researcher Summary

Research interests include Applied Bayesian spatio-temporal modelling, epidemiology, modelling of extreme events.

Subject Area: Disciplines

Statistics: Statistics

emol.jpg

Research/Scholarly/Creative Works

Chapters

Obersteiner M., Balkovic J., Böttcher H., Bouma JA., Fritz S., Fuss S., Havlik P., Heumesser C., Hochrainer S. and Jantke K. (2017) The value of global earth observations. Satellite Earth Observations and Their Impact on Society and Policy: 137-142. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-3713-9_12.

Havulinna AS., Kousa A. and Moltchanova E. (2014) Cardiovascular disease, diabetes and parkinsonism: a Bayesian disease mapping approach with a geochemical perspective. In Schaerström A; Jørgensen SH; Kistemann T; Silvertun A (Ed.), Geography and Health: A Nordic Outlook: 212-228. Stockholm: The Swedish National Defence College, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Universitaet Bonn.

Kousa A., Havulinna AS., Puustinen N. and Moltchanova E. (2014) Mg and Ca in groundwater and the incidence of acute coronary syndrome: Application of a Bayesian spatial method in medical geology. In Razowska-Jaworek L (Ed.), Calcium and Magnesium in Groundwater: Occurrence and Significance for Human Health: 153-162. Balkema: CRC Press.

Kousa A., Loukola-Ruskeeniemi K., Nikkarinen M., Havulinna AS., Karvonen M., Moltchanova E., Sorvari J., Lehtinen H., Rossi E. and Ruskeeniemi T. (2011) Evaluation of the relationship between the natural geological environment and certain chronic diseases in Finland. : 247-262.

Stene LC., Harjutsalo V., Moltchanova E. and Tuomilehto J. (2010) Epidemiology of T1 diabetes. In Holt RIG; Goldstein B; Flybjerg A; Cockram C (Ed.), Textbook of Diabetes (4th ed.): 31-44. London: Wiley-Blackwell. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781444324808.ch3.

Strauss F., Schmid E. and Moltchanova E. (2009) Simulation von Klimaszenarien und die okonomische und okologische Bewertung verschiedener Pflanzenproduktionsverfahren im Marchfeld. In Peyerl H (Ed.), Jahrbuch der Osterreichischen Gesellschaft fur Agrarokonomie: 107-116. Vienna: Facultas, Wien.

Chladna Z., Moltchanova E. and Obersteiner M. (2006) Prevention of Surprise. In Albeverio S; Jentsch V; Kantz H (Ed.), The Frontiers Collection, Part III: Extreme Events in Nature and Society: 295-317. Heidelberg: Springer. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/3-540-28611-X_14.

Journal Articles

Hobbs M., Moltchanova E., Wicks C., Pringle A., Griffiths C., Radley D. and Zwolinsky S. (2021) Investigating the environmental, behavioural, and sociodemographic determinants of attendance at a city-wide public health physical activity intervention: Longitudinal evidence over one year from 185,245 visits. Preventive Medicine 143 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ypmed.2020.106334.

Welikala D., Robinson BH., Moltchanova E., Hartland A. and Lehto NJ. (2021) Soil cadmium mobilisation by dissolved organic matter from soil amendments. Chemosphere 271 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chemosphere.2021.129536.

Bartneck C. and Moltchanova E. (2020) Expressing uncertainty in Human-Robot Interaction. PLoS ONE 15(7 July) http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0235361.

Baxter-Parker G., Gaddam RR., Moltchanova E., Carr A., Shaw G., Chambers S. and Gieseg SP. (2020) Oxidative stress and immune cell activation quantification in sepsis and non-sepsis critical care patients by neopterin/7,8-dihydroneopterin analysis. Pteridines 31(1): 68-82. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/pteridines-2020-0015.

Ellis R., Gerhard D., Moltchanova E., Trought M. and Yang L. (2020) Using Bayesian Growth Models to Predict Grape Yield. OENO One 54(3) http://dx.doi.org/10.20870/oeno-one.2020.54.3.2972.

Hewapathirana IU., Lee D., Moltchanova E. and McLeod J. (2020) Change detection in noisy dynamic networks: a spectral embedding approach. Social Network Analysis and Mining 10(1) http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13278-020-0625-3.

Hewapathirana IU., Lee D., Moltchanova E. and McLeod J. (2020) Change detection in noisy dynamic networks: a spectral embedding approach.. Soc. Netw. Anal. Min. 10 1: 14-14.

Moltchanova E., Sharifiamina S., Moot DJ., Shayanfar A. and Bloomberg M. (2020) Comparison of three different statistical approaches (non-linear least-squares regression, survival analysis and Bayesian inference) in their usefulness for estimating hydrothermal time models of seed germination. Seed Science Research 30(1): 64-72. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0960258520000082.

Shayanfar A., Sharifiamina S., Moot DJ., Moltchanova E. and Bloomberg M. (2020) Quantifying perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.) and white clover (Trifolium repens L.) seed germination responses to water potential and temperature with a hydrothermal time model. New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research 63(3): 379-394. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00288233.2019.1622571.

Xi B., Di N., Bloomberg M. and Moltchanova E. (2020) Sample size estimation for achieving the desired uncertainty for estimates of tree fine root trait parameters. Trees - Structure and Function http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00468-020-02032-4.

Alves AC., De Silva NMG., Karhunen V., Sovio U., Das S., Rob Taal H., Warrington NM., Lewin AM., Kaakinen M. and Cousminer DL. (2019) GWAS on longitudinal growth traits reveals different genetic factors influencing infant, child, and adult BMI. Science Advances 5(9) http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw3095.

Carpenter JK., O’Donnell CFJ., Moltchanova E. and Kelly D. (2019) Long seed dispersal distances by an inquisitive flightless rail (Gallirallus australis) are reduced by interaction with humans. Royal Society Open Science 6(8) http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.190397.

Falkner K., Mitter H., Moltchanova E. and Schmid E. (2019) A zero-inflated Poisson mixture model to analyse spread and abundance of the Western Corn Rootworm in Austria. Agricultural Systems 174: 105-116. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.04.010.

Falkner K., Mitter H., Moltchanova E. and Schmid E. (2019) Modelling crop rotation regulations to control western corn rootworm infestation under climate change in styria. Journal of the Austrian Society of Agricultural Economics 28: 47-53. http://dx.doi.org/10.15203/OEGA_28.8.

Jaksons R., Horn B., Moriarty E. and Moltchanova E. (2019) Spatio-temporal analysis of differences in campylobacteriosis incidence between urban and rural areas in the Southern District Health Board, New Zealand. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology 31 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.sste.2019.100304.

Lesiv M., Laso Bayas JC., See L., Duerauer M., Dahlia D., Durando N., Hazarika R., Kumar Sahariah P., Vakolyuk M. and Blyshchyk V. (2019) Estimating the global distribution of field size using crowdsourcing. Global Change Biology 25(1): 174-186. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14492.

Moltchanova E. (2019) Real options economic control chart for binomial and normal processes. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 35(1): 385-391. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.2405.

Aliyu B., Thia J., Moltchanova E., Forget P-M. and Chapman HM. (2018) Forest disturbance and seasonal food availability influence a conditional seed dispersal mutualism. Biotropica 50(5): 750-757. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/btp.12570.

Avila R., Horn B., Moriarty E., Hodson R. and Moltchanova E. (2018) Evaluating statistical model performance in water quality prediction. Journal of Environmental Management 206: 910-919. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.049.

Bartneck C. and Moltchanova E. (2018) LEGO products have become more complex. PLoS ONE 13(1) http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0190651.

Carpenter JK., Kelly D., Moltchanova E. and O'Donnell CFJ. (2018) Introduction of mammalian seed predators and the loss of an endemic flightless bird impair seed dispersal of the New Zealand tree Elaeocarpus dentatus. Ecology and Evolution 8(12): 5992-6004. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ece3.4157.

Lesiv M., Schepaschenko D., Moltchanova E., Bun R., Dürauer M., Prishchepov AV., Schierhorn F., Estel S., Kuemmerle T. and Alcántara C. (2018) Data descriptor: Spatial distribution of arable and abandoned land across former Soviet Union countries. Scientific Data 5 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.56.

Lesiv M., Schepaschenko D., Moltchanova E., Bun R., Dürauer M., Prishchepov AV., Schierhorn F., Estel S., Kuemmerle T. and Alcántara C. (2018) Spatial distribution of arable and abandoned land across former Soviet Union countries. : 1-12.

Sampson KA., Moltchanova E., Robertson I., Bridgman C., Suszko A. and Russell D. (2018) A Roadmap for the Evaluation of Attributes in University Graduates. New Zealand Journal of Educational Studies 53(1): 119-134. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40841-017-0102-3.

Schepaschenko D., Moltchanova E., Shvidenko A., Blyshchyk V., Dmitriev E., Martynenko O., See L. and Kraxner F. (2018) Improved estimates of biomass expansion factors for Russian forests. Forests 9(6) http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/f9060312.

Abi N., Moradi M., Salehi M., Brown J., Al-Khayat JA. and Moltchanova E. (2017) Application of Balanced Acceptance Sampling to an Intertidal Survey. Journal of Landscape Ecology(Czech Republic) 10(1): 96-107. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/jlecol-2017-0012.

Ganivet E., Moltchanova E. and Bloomberg M. (2017) Developing a framework for growth modelling in a managed southern black beech forest. New Zealand Journal of Forestry Science 47(1) http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s40490-017-0092-4.

Moltchanova E. (2017) Bayesian real options control chart. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 33(8): 2205-2213. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.2179.

Moltchanova E. and Bartneck C. (2017) Individual differences are more important than the emotional category for the perception of emotional expressions. Interaction Studies 18(2): 161-173. http://dx.doi.org/10.1075/is.18.2.01mol.

Moltchanova E., Gerhard D., Mohamed F., Gaw S. and Glover C. (2017) On correlation analysis of many-to-many observations: an alternative to Pearson's correlation coefficient and its application to an ecotoxicological study. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Statistics 59(4): 371-387. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/anzs.12211.

Morton SE., Chiew YS., Pretty C., Moltchanova E., Scarrott C., Redmond D., Shaw GM. and Chase JG. (2017) Effective sample size estimation for a mechanical ventilation trial through Monte-Carlo simulation: Length of mechanical ventilation and Ventilator Free Days. Mathematical Biosciences 284: 21-31. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2016.06.001.

Rodrigues AP., Moltchanova E., Norton DA. and Turnbull MH. (2017) Ecological factors preventing restoration of degraded short tussock landscapes in New Zealand's dryland zone. Open Agriculture 2: 442-452. http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/opag-2017-0048.

Bartneck C., Ser QM., Moltchanova E., Smithies J. and Harrington E. (2016) Have LEGO Products Become More Violent? PLoS ONE 11(5) e0155401: 27. http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0155401.

Crowell M., Martini M. and Moltchanova E. (2016) Effect of the addition of bird repellents to aerially applied 1080 baits on rat and possum abundance. New Zealand Journal of Ecology 40(1): 1.

Dutton P., Moltchanova. and Chapman HM. (2016) Nesting Ecology of a Small Montane Population of the Nigerian/Cameroon Chimpanzee (Pan troglodytes ellioti) in Nigeria. Fola Primatologica 87(6): 361-374. http://dx.doi.org/10.1159/000454921.

Folberth C., Skalský R., Moltchanova E., Balkovič J., Azevedo LB., Obersteiner M. and Van Der Velde M. (2016) Uncertainty in soil data can outweigh climate impact signals in global crop yield simulations. Nature Communications 7 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11872.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2016) Hybrid ranked set sampling scheme. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 86(1): 1-28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2014.991930.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2016) Improved best linear unbiased estimators for the simple linear regression model using double ranked set sampling schemes. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 45(12): 3541-3561. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2014.904350.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2016) Best linear unbiased and invariant estimation in location-scale families based on double-ranked set sampling. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods 45(1): 25-48. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2013.818696.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2016) Paired Double Ranked Set Sampling. Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods (early access online) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610926.2014.892135.

Lesiv M., Moltchanova E., Schepaschenko D., See L., Shvidenko A., Comber A. and Fritz S. (2016) Comparison of data fusion methods using crowdsourced data in creating a hybrid forest cover map. Remote Sensing 8(3) 261 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs8030261.

Popova E., Moltchanova E., Han SH., Saxena P. and Kim DH. (2016) Cryopreservation of Prunus padus seeds: Emphasising the significance of Bayesian methods for data analysis. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 46(6): 766-774. http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2016-0020.

Bartneck C., Duenser A., Moltchanova E. and Zawieska K. (2015) Comparing the similarity of responses received from experiments conducted in Amazon's Mechanical Turk to experiments conducted with traditional methods. PLOS One 10(4) e0121595 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0121595.

Chladna Z. and Moltchanova E. (2015) Incentive to vaccinate: A synthesis of two approaches. Acta Mathematica Universitatis Comenianae 84(2): 283-296.

Farkas K., Plutzer K., Moltchanova E., Török A., Varró MJ., Domokos K., Frost F. and Hunter PR. (2015) Serological responses to Cryptosporidium antigens in inhabitants of Hungary using conventionally filtered surface water and riverbank filtered drinking water. Epidemiology & Infection 143(13): 2743-2747. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0950268814003859.

Fritz S., See L., McCallum I., You L., Bun A., Moltchanova E., Duerauer M., Albrecht F., Schill C. and Perger C. (2015) Mapping global cropland and field size. Global Change Biology 21(5): 1980-1992. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12838.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(8): 1337-1357. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1666.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) A New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring the Process Mean. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(8): 1623-1640. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1696.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) A New Maximum Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean and Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(8): 1587-1610. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1694.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) A New Synthetic Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 32(1): 241-256. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1745.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) An Improved Maximum Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart for Monitoring Process Mean and Variability. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(2): 265-290. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1586.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Process Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(5): 877-901. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1646.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) New Synthetic Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Process Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(8): 1305-1325. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1712.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2015) New Synthetic EWMA and Synthetic CUSUM Control Charts for Monitoring the Process Mean. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 32(1): 269-290. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1747.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2015) Effect of Measurement Error on Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts under Ranked Set Sampling Schemes. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 85(6): 1224-1246.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2015) Improved Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Mean and Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 31(2): 217-237. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1573.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2015) Varied L Ranked Set Sampling Scheme. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice 9(4): 741-767. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/15598608.2015.1008606.

Moltchanova E. and Eriksson JG. (2015) Longitudinal changes in maternal and neonatal anthropometrics: a case study of the Helsinki Birth Cohort, 1934-1944. Journal of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease 6(4): 285-290. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S2040174415000148.

Pearse G., Moltchanova E. and Bloomberg M. (2015) Assessment of the accuracy of profile available water and potential rooting depth estimates held within New Zealand's fundamental soil layers geo-database. Soil Research 53(7): 737-744. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/SR14012.

Schepaschenko D., See L., Lesiv M., McCallum I., Fritz S., Salk C., Moltchanova E., Perger C., Schepaschenko M. and Schvidenko A. (2015) Development of a global hybrid forest mask through the synergy of remote sensing, crowdsourcing and FAO statistics. Remote Sensing of Environment 162: 208-220. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.02.011.

Wang Y., Xi B., Bloomberg M., Moltchanova E., Li G. and Jia L. (2015) Response of diameter growth, biomass allocation and N uptake to N fertigation in a triploid Populus tomentosa plantation in the North China Plain: Ontogenetic shift does not exclude plasticity. European Journal of Forest Research 134(5): 889-898. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10342-015-0897-8.

Aliyu B., Adamu H., Moltchanova E., Forget PM. and Chapman HM. (2014) The interplay of habitat and seed type on scatterhoarding behaviour in a fragmented Afromontane forest landscape. Biotropica 46(3): 264-267. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/btp.12110.

Dutton PE., Chapman HM. and Moltchanova E. (2014) Secondary Removal of Seeds Dispersed by Chimpanzees in a Nigerian Montane Forest. African Journal of Ecology 52(4): 438-447. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aje.12138.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2014) A New Cumulative Sum Quality Control Scheme for Monitoring the Process Mean. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 30(8): 1165-1177. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1539.

Haq A., Brown J. and Moltchanova E. (2014) New Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Monitoring Process Dispersion. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 30(8): 1311-1332. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1553.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2014) Mixed Ranked Set Sampling Design. Journal of Applied Statistics 41(10): 2141-2156.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2014) Ordered Double Ranked Set Samples and Applications to Inference. American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences 33(4): 239-260. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01966324.2014.929988.

Haq A., Brown JA. and Moltchanova E. (2014) Improved Fast Initial Response Features for Exponentially Weighted Moving Average and Cumulative Sum Control Charts. Quality and Reliability Engineering International 30(5): 697-710. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qre.1521.

Kaseva N., Wehkalampi K., Pyhala R., Moltchanova E., Feldt K., Pesonen AK., Heinonen K., Hovi P., Järvenpää AL. and Andersson S. (2014) Blunted hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and insulin response to psychosocial stress in young adults born preterm at very low birth weight. Clinical Endocrinology 80(1): 101-106. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cen.12251.

Ngui AN., Apparicio P., Moltchanova E. and Vasiliadis HM. (2014) Spatial analysis of suicide mortality in Québec: Spatial clustering and area factor correlates. Psychiatry Research 220(1-2): 20-30. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.psychres.2014.07.033.

Crowell M., Eason C., Hix S., Broome K., Fairweather A., Moltchanova E., Ross J. and Murphy E. (2013) First generation anticoagulant rodenticide persistence in large mammals and implications for wildlife management. New Zealand Journal of Zoology 40(3): 205-216. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03014223.2012.746234.

Hamonts K., Balaine N., Moltchanova E., Beare M., Thomas S., Wakelin SA., O'Callaghan M., Condron LM. and Clough TJ. (2013) Influence if soil bulk density and matric potential on microbial dynamics, inorganic N transformations, N2O and N2 fluxes following urea deposition. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 65: 1-11. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.soilbio.2013.05.006.

Haq A., Brown J., Moltchanova E. and Al-Omari AI. (2013) Partial Ranked Set Sampling Design. Environmetrics 24(3): 201-207. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/env.2203.

Harland FMJ., Wood SA., Moltchanova E., Williamson WM. and Gaw S. (2013) Phormidium autumnale growth and anatoxin-a production under iron and copper stress. Toxins 5(12): 2504-2521. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/toxins5122504.

McCallum I., Franklin O., Moltchanova E., Merbold L., Schmullius C., Shvidenko A., Schepaschenko D. and Fritz S. (2013) Improved light and temperature responses for light use efficiency based GPP models. Biogeosciences Discussions 10(5): 8919-8947. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bgd-10-8919-2013.

McCallum I., Franklin O., Moltchanova E., Merbold L., Schmullius C., Shvidenko A., Schepaschenko D. and Fritz S. (2013) Improved light and temperature responses for light-use-efficiency-based GPP models. Biogeosciences 10(10): 6577-6590. http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-10-6577-2013.

Penttinen A., Moltchanova E. and Nummela I. (2013) Bayesian modeling of the evolution of male height in 18th century Finland from incomplete data. Economics & Human Biology 11(4): 405-415. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2013.06.002.

Popova EV., Kim DH., Han SH., Moltchanova E., Pritchard HW. and Hong YP. (2013) Systematic overestimation of Salicaceae seed survival using radicle emergence in response to drying and storage: implications for ex situ seed banking. Acta Physiologiae Plantarum 35(10): 3015-3025. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11738-013-1334-6.

Schreier N., Moltchanova E., Forsen T., Kajantie E. and Eriksson JG. (2013) Seasonality and ambient temperature at time of conception in term-born individuals - influences on cardiovascular disease and obesity in adult life. International Journal of Circumpolar Health 72: 21466. http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/ijch.v72i0.21466.

Strauss F., Moltchanova E. and Schmid E. (2013) Spatially Explicit Modeling of Long-Term Drought Impacts on Crop Production in Austria. American Journal of Climate Change 2: 1-11. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ajcc.2013.23A001.

Das BT., Hamonts K., Moltchanova E., Clough TJ., Condron LM., Wakelin SA. and O'Callaghan M. (2012) Influence of photosynthetically active radiation on diurnal N2O emissions under ruminant urine patches. New Zealand Journal of Agricultural Research 55(4): 319-331. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00288233.2012.697068.

Franklin O., Moltchanova E., Kraxner F., Seidl R., Bottcher H., Rokityiansky D. and Obersteiner M. (2012) Large-Scale Forest Modeling: Deducing Stand Density from Inventory Data. International Journal of Forestry Research 2012 934974: 13pp. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/934974.

Kousa A., Puustinen N., Karvonen M. and Moltchanova E. (2012) The regional association of rising type 2 diabetes incidence with magnesium in drinking water among young adults. Environmental Research 112: 126-128. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2011.11.001.

Sandboge S., Moltchanova E., Blomstedt PA., Salonen MK., Kajantie E., Osmond C., Barker DJP. and Eriksson JG. (2012) Birth-weight and resting metabolic rate in adulthood: Sex-specific differences. Annals of Medicine 44(3): 296-303. http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/07853890.2010.549147.

Strauss F., Schmid E., Moltchanova E., Formayer H. and Wang X. (2012) Modeling climate change and biophysical impacts of crop production in the Austrian Marchfeld Region. Climatic Change 111(3-4): 641-664. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0171-0.

Tiainen AMK., Männistö S., Blomstedt PA., Moltchanova E., Perälä MM., Kaartinen NE., Kajantie E., Kananen L., Hovatta I. and Eriksson JG. (2012) Leukocyte telomere length and its relation to food and nutrient intake in an elderly population. European Journal of Clinical Nutrition 66: 1290-1294. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/ejcn.2012.143.

Weston KA., Chapman HM., Kelly D. and Moltchanova EV. (2012) Dependence on sunbird pollination for fruit set in three West African montane mistletoe species. Journal of Tropical Ecology 28(02): 205-213. http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S026646741100068X.

Moltchanova E., Khabarov N., Obersteiner M., Ehrlich D. and Moula M. (2011) The value of rapid damage assessment for efficient earthquake response. Safety Science 49(8-9): 1164-1171. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2011.03.008.

Perälä MM., Moltchanova E., Kaartinen NE., Männistö S., Kajantie E., Osmond C., Barker DJP., Valsta LM. and Eriksson JG. (2011) The association between salt intake and adult systolic blood pressure is modified by birth weight. The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition 93(2): 422-426. http://dx.doi.org/10.3945/ajcn.2010.30022.

Schreier NK., Moltchanova EV., Blomstedt PA., Kajantie E. and Eriksson JG. (2011) Prenatal exposure to wartime stress - long-term effect on coronary heart disease in later life. Annals of Medicine 43(7): 555-561. http://dx.doi.org/10.3109/07853890.2010.521765.

Salopuro T., Saaristo T., Korpi-Hyovalti E., Oksa H., Keinanen-Kiukaanniemi S., Saltevo J., Vanhala M., Niskanen L., Moltchanova E. and Sundvall J. (2010) Lihavuuden ja glukoosiaineenvaihdunnan häiriöiden esiintyvyydessä on selviä aluueellisia eroja Suomessa D2D-hankkeen tuloksia. Suomen Lääkärilehti (Finnish Medical Journal) 65: 26-31.

Lammi N., Blomstedt P., Eriksson J., Karvonen M. and Moltchanova E. (2009) Lasten ja nuorten aikuisten diabeteksen alueellinen ilmaantuvuus Suomessa (Regional incidence of childhood- and young adult-onset diabetes in Finland). Suomen Lääkärilehti (Finnish Medical Journal) 34(64): 2655-2660.

Lammi N., Blomstedt PA., Moltchanova E., Eriksson JG., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2009) Perinatal risk factors in young adult-onset type 1 and type 2 diabetes - a population-based case-control study. ACTA Obstetricia et Gynecologica 88(4): 468-474. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00016340902759101.

Lammi N., Blomstedt PA., Moltchanova E., Eriksson JG., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2009) Perinatal risk factors in young adult-onset type 1 and type 2 diabetes-A population-based case-control study. Obstetrical and Gynecological Survey 64(8): 511-512. http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/01.ogx.0000356748.26298.56.

Lammi N., Moltchanova E., Blomstedt PA., Tuomilehto J., Eriksson JG. and Karvonen M. (2009) Childhood BMI trajectories and the risk of developing young adult-onset diabetes. Diabetologia 52(3): 408-414. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00125-008-1244-0.

Moltchanova EV., Schreier N., Lammi N. and Karvonen M. (2009) Seasonal variation of diagnosis of Type 1 diabetes mellitus in children worldwide. Diabetic Medicine 26(7): 673-678. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-5491.2009.02743.x.

Havulinna AS., Tienari PJ., Marttila RJ., Martikainen KK., Eriksson JG., Taskinen O., Moltchanova E. and Karvonen M. (2008) Geographical variation of medicated Parkinsonism in Finland during 1995 to 2000. Movement Disorders 23(7): 1024-1031. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/mds.22024.

Khabarov N., Moltchanova E. and Obersteiner M. (2008) Valuing Weather Observation Systems For Forest Fire Management. IEEE Systems Journal 2(3): 349-357. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/JSYST.2008.925979.

Kousa A., Havulinna AS., Moltchanova E., Taskinen O., Nikkarinen M., Salomaa V. and Karvonen M. (2008) Magnesium in well water and the spatial variation of acute myocardial infarction incidence in rural Finland. Applied Geochemistry 23(4): 632-640. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeochem.2007.10.015.

Schreier NK., Moltchanova EV., Lammi NM., Karvonen ML. and Eriksson JG. (2008) Temporal variation in case fatality of acute myocardial infarction in Finland. Annals of Medicine 41(1): 73-80. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07853890802392511.

Strauss F., Schmid E. and Moltchanova E. (2008) Simulation of climate scenarios and the assessment of economic and ecological impacts of different agricultural management systems in the Marchfeld region. Journal of the Austrian Society of Agricultural Economics 18(3): 117-126.

Lammi N., Moltchanova E., Blomstedt P., Eriksson JG., Taskinen O., Sarti C., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2007) The effect of birth order and parental age on the risk of type 1 and 2 diabetes among young adults. Diabetologia 50(12): 2433-2438. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00125-007-0843-5.

Lammi N., Taskinen O., Moltchanova E., Notkola IL., Eriksson JG., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2007) A high incidence of type 1 diabetes and an alarming increase in the incidence of type 2 diabetes among young adults in Finland between 1992 and 1996. Diabetologia 50(7): 1393-1400. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00125-007-0690-4.

Pitkäniemi J., Moltchanova E., Haapala L., Harjutsalo V., Tuomilehto J. and Hakulinen T. (2007) Genetic random effects model for family data with long-term survivors: analysis of nephropathy in type 1 diabetes. Genetic Epidemiology 31(7): 697-708. http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/gepi.20234.

Kousa A., Havulinna A., Moltchanova E., Taskinen O., Nikkarinen M., Salomaa V. and Karvonen M. (2006) Calcium:Magnesium Ratio in Local Groundwater and Incidence of Acute Myocardial Infarction among Males in Rural Finland. Environmental Health Perspectives 114(5): 730-734. http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.8438.

The DIAMOND Project Group. (2006) Incidence and trends of childhood Type 1 diabetes worldwide 1990-1999. Diabetic Medicine 23(8): 857-866. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-5491.2006.01925.x.

Moltchanova E., Penttinen A. and Karvonen M. (2005) A hierarchical Bayesian birth cohort analysis from incomplete registry data: evaluating the trends in the age of onset of insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (T1DM). Statistics in Medicine 24(19): 2989-3004.

Kousa A., Moltchanova E., Viik-Kajander M., Rytkonen M. and Karvonen M. (2004) Geochemical Factors in Ground Water and Incidence of Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI) in Finland. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 58: 136-139.

Moltchanova E., Rytkönen M., Kousa A., Taskinen O., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2004) Zinc and nitrate in the ground water and the incidence of Type 1 diabetes in Finland. Diabetic Medicine 21(3): 256-261. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-5491.2004.01125.x.

Rytkonen M., Moltchanova E., Ranta J., Taskinen O., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2003) The Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes Among Children in Finland: Rural-Urban Difference. Health & Place 9(4): 315-325.

The DECODE Study Group. (2003) Is the current definition for diabetes relevant to mortality risk from all causes and cardiovascular and noncardiovascular diseases? Diabetes Care.

Viik-Kajander M., Moltchanova E., Tuomilehto J., Salomaa V., Ketonen M., Palomaki P., Miettinen H., Pyorala K. and Karvonen M. (2003) Geographical variation in the incidence of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Eastern Finland - a Bayesian prospective. Annals of Medicine 35(1): 43-50.

Karvonen M., Moltchanova E., Viik-Kajander M., Moltchanov V., Rytkonen M., Kousa A. and Tuomilehto J. (2002) Regional inequality in the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Finland. HeartDrug 2: 51-60.

Karvonen M., Moltchanova E., Viik-Kajander M., Moltchanov V., Rytkönen M., Kousa A. and Tuomilehto J. (2002) Regional inequality in the risk of acute myocardial infarction in Finland: A case study of 35- to 74-year-old men. HeartDrug 2(2): 51-60. http://dx.doi.org/10.1159/000063421.

Karvonen M., Viik-Kajander M., Moltchanova E., Libman I., LaPorte R. and Tuomilehto J. (2000) Incidence of childhood type 1 diabetes worldwide. Diabetes Mondiale (DiaMond) Project Group.. Diabetes Care 23(10): 1516-1526. http://dx.doi.org/10.2337/diacare.23.10.1516.

Karvonen M., Viik-Kajander M., Moltchanova E., Libman I., LaPorte R. and Tuomilehto J. (2000) Incidence of childhood type I diabetes worldwide. Diabetes Care 23(10): 1516-1526.

Franklin O., Moltchanova E., Krasovskiy A. and Kraxner F. (1900) Modeling Risks and Mitigation Options for the Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD) in Scandinavia. http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.10.243782.

Conference Contributions - Published

Chiew YS., Docherty PD., Redmond D., Moltchanova E., Scarrott C., Pretty CG. and Chase JG.. (2016) Stopping a Clinical Trial: Simulation-based design of a robust stopping rule using difference in interventional effect on mortality. In : 6. IEEE.

Obaid M., Salem M., Ziadee M., Boukaram H., Moltchanova E. and Sakr M.. (2016) Investigating effects of professional status and ethnicity i Human-Agent interaction. In Proceedings of HAI '16: 179-186. http://dx.doi.org/10.1145/2974804.2974813.

Obaid M., Sandoval EB., Zlotowski J., Moltchanova E., Basedow CA. and Bartneck C.. (2016) Stop! That is close enough. How body postures influence human-robot proximity. In 25th IEEE International Symposium on Robot and Human Interactive Communication, RO-MAN 2016: 354-361. http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ROMAN.2016.7745155.

Obaid M., Dünser A., Moltchanova E., Cummings D., Wagner J. and Bartneck C.. (2015) LEGO Pictorial Scales for Assessing Affective Responses. In Human-Computer Interaction - INTERACT 2015 Part 1: 263-280. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-22701-6_19.

Brown JA., David I., Moltchanova E., Seddon H. and Harlow J.. (2014) Improving statistical literacy at University. In.

Onkamo P., Kammonen J., Pesonen P., Sundell T., Moltchanova E., Oinonen M., Haimila M. and Arjas E.. (2012) Bayesian Spatiotemporal Analysis of Radiocarbon Dates from Eastern Fennoscandia. In Radiocarbon 54(3-4): 649-659. http://dx.doi.org/10.2458/azu_js_rc.v54i3-4.16136.

Pesonen P., Kammonen J., Moltchanova E., Oinonen M. and Onkamo P.. (2010) Archaeological Radiocarbon Dates and Ancient Shorelines - Resources and Reservoirs. In Proceedings of a Seminar on Sea Level Displacement and Bedrock Uplift: 119-129.

Khabarov N., Moltchanova E. and Obersteiner M.. (2009) Value of weather observations for reduction of forest fire impact on population. In Proceedings, 33rd International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, ISRSE 2009: 1210-1213.

Strauss F., Schmid E., Formayer H. and Moltchanova E.. (2009) Simulation of climate scenarios and sensitivity analysis with the bio-physical process model EPIC. In Proceedings, 33rd International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, ISRSE 2009: 1165-1168.

Lammi NM., Moltchanova EV., Blomstedt PA., Eriksson JG., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M.. (2008) Childhood BMI trajectories and the risk for type 1 and type 2 diabetes diagnosed in young adulthood. In DIABETOLOGIA 51: S49-S49.

Moltchanova E., Schreier N., Lammi N. and Karvonen M.. (2008) Seasonal variation of the onset of type 1 diabetes among children worldwide. In Diabetologia 51(S1): 57.

Moltchanova EV., Schreier N., Lammi N. and Karvonen M.. (2008) Seasonal variation of the onset of type 1 diabetes among children worldwide. In DIABETOLOGIA 51: S157-S157.

Moltchanova E., Pitkaniemi J. and Haapala L.. (2005) Potts model for haplotype associations. In BMC Genetics 6 Suppl 1.

Tuomilehto J., Moltchanova E., Taskinen O. and Karvonen M.. (2003) Incidence of childhood Type 1 diabetes worldwide. 1990-1999.. In DIABETOLOGIA 46: A53-A53.

Reports

Balkovič J., Schmid E., Moltchanova E., Skalský R., Poltárska K., Müller B. and Bujnovský R. (2007) Data processing. In V. Stolbovoy, L. Montanarella and P. Panagos (Ed.), Carbon Sink Enhancement in Soils of Europe: Data, Modeling and Verification.Luxembourg: Office for Official Publications of the European Communities. Commissioned by European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability. 74-139.

Conference Contributions - Other

Armstrong B., Yungnickel M., Hickford M., Moltchanova E. and Schiel D. (2018) Whitebait wizardry: modelling the composition of a mixed species fishery. Nelson, New Zealand: New Zealand Freshwater Sciences Society Annual Conference, 10-14 Dec 2018.

Other

Lammi N., Blomstedt PA., Moltchanova E., Eriksson JG., Tuomilehto J. and Karvonen M. (2008) Marked temporal increase in the incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among young adults in Finland. Diabetologia 51(5): 897-899. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00125-008-0952-9. [Research letter].

Review and Refereeing

Computational Statistics and Data Analysis ( 2015 - 2016)

Diabetic Medicine ( 2006 - 2021)

Economics and Human Biology ( 2006 - 2021)

International Journal of Epidemiology ( 2006 - 2021)

ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information ( 2016 - 2021)

PLoS ONE ( 2016 - 2021)

Primary Care Diabetes ( 2017 - 2021)

Quality and Reliability Engineering International ( 2015 - 2021)

Remote Sensing ( 2015 - 2021)

Safety Science ( 2006 - 2021)